Schedule Risk
Risks
The official risk register is a human-owned record. Cera observations are suggestions until a human adds them.
Potential Emerging Schedule Risk AI Observation
CR-01Medium · 77%
Emerging integration risk
Cera Observation: "Three schedule conditions suggest an emerging integration risk."
- 3.2.17 missing successor
- 3.2.3 staffing reduced 25%
- 3.2.4 float reduced to 4 days
Status: Not Yet Added to Official Risk Register
CR-02Medium · 69%
Status reporting discipline
Cera Observation: "Seven activities stale for a full status period across three organizations."
- 2.4.6, 3.1.3, 3.1.4, 3.2.3, 4.1.2, 5.1.2 stale
- Pattern repeated in 2 of last 4 periods
Status: Not Yet Added to Official Risk Register
CR-03Low · 64%
Configuration-control gap
Cera Observation: "Activity deletion found without corresponding CCB record."
- 3.2.9 deleted
- No CCB record in change log
Status: Not Yet Added to Official Risk Register
Official Risk Register Official Project Record
| Risk ID | Risk | Likelihood | Impact | Schedule Exposure | Affected Milestones | Owner | Status | Cera Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R-031 | Fleet range-time availability for Operational Assessment | 10d | T&E Lead | Open | Elevated | |||
| R-019 | ATO decision timeline uncertainty | 15d | ISSM | Mitigating | Stable | |||
| R-028 | PEO C4I interface agreement signature delay | 8d | Interface Manager | Mitigating | Elevated | |||
| R-033 | Server hardware supply-chain delay | 9d | Site Lead | Open | New Evidence | |||
| R-024 | STIG remediation scope growth | 4d | Software Lead | Mitigating | Elevated | |||
| R-015 | Requirements volatility post-CDR | 6d | Chief Engineer | Watch | Stable | |||
| R-021 | GFE simulator fidelity | 5d | Integration Lead | Open | New Evidence | |||
| R-026 | NAVFAC facility work window conflicts | 5d | Site Lead | Watch | Stable | |||
| R-012 | Key personnel turnover (integration) | 3d | Navique PM | Watch | Declining | |||
| R-009 | Operator training throughput | 3d | Fleet Support Lead | Open | Stable |